PlayStation platinum: how long the trophy still takes

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The last field is a guess and this page treats it as one. How much slower a grind trophy runs depends on the game and on you, so no honest number can be printed here; what the page does instead is show the whole answer moving as that guess changes.

Results

Hours per trophy at your pace so far
Hours left, treating what remains as average
Hours left, with the hard ones weighted
How many times bigger the second figure is
Hours from the first trophy to the platinum
Share of the trophies already done, in percent
Share of the time already spent, in percent

The trophies you have left are not average trophies, and that is not bad luck. You did the easy ones first because they came to you while you were playing, so what is still missing is the part that was never going to arrive on its own. Projecting from your pace so far is a floor, not an estimate.

The two percentages under the table are worth comparing. With the numbers this page starts from, 60 out of a hundred trophies are done and only 41 out of a hundred hours are behind you. Being past halfway on the list and short of halfway on the clock is the normal shape of a platinum, not a sign that something went wrong.

The same run under different guesses

Times slower Hours still to goHours in total

Read that table before quoting any single number to yourself. The answer runs from fifty hours to a hundred and two depending on one figure nobody can measure in advance, and a page that printed one of those and hid the rest would be dressing a guess up as a measurement.

There is one more thing worth knowing, and it explains why the estimate you saw early on was nonsense. The projection divides by the trophies you have earned, so it swings hardest when that number is small. Four trophies in eight hours says seventy two hours to go; five in nine says sixty three. The same single trophy at twenty four earned moves the answer by less than an hour and a half, which is more than six times steadier.

So an estimate taken in the first hour is not a bad estimate, it is barely an estimate at all. Wait until a third of the list is done before taking the number seriously, and treat everything before that as a rough sense of scale.

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Why not just divide the hours by the trophies I have?

Because the trophies you have left are not average trophies. You earned the easy ones first, since they arrived while you were simply playing, so what is missing is exactly the part that was never going to turn up on its own.

That makes the simple projection a floor rather than an estimate. With the numbers this page starts from it says twenty hours to go, while weighting the six grind trophies at four times the pace says forty two and a half.

Why does the page ask me to guess how much slower they are?

Because nobody can know it in advance, and printing a coefficient here would be dressing a guess up as a measurement. It depends on the game, on the trophy and on you.

So the guess stays yours, and the page shows the whole answer moving with it. If the total swings a lot across the table, that is the honest signal that the figure you were about to quote is mostly an assumption.

Times slowerHours in total
150,0
257,5
472,5
8102,5
Why was the estimate so wild when I started?

Because the projection divides by the trophies you have earned, so it swings hardest when that number is small. Four trophies in eight hours projects seventy two hours to go, and five in nine projects sixty three: one trophy moved the answer by nine hours.

The same single trophy at twenty four earned moves it by less than an hour and a half, which is more than six times steadier. An estimate taken in the first hour is barely an estimate at all.

I am past halfway on trophies. Am I past halfway on time?

Almost certainly not, and that is normal rather than a warning sign. With the figures on this page, 60 out of a hundred trophies are done while only 41 out of a hundred hours are behind you.

The list and the clock run at different speeds because the list treats every trophy as one item while the clock does not. Reading the percentage on the screen as progress through the work is the most common way to be surprised by a platinum.